Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico

Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico

The objective that we have set ourselves in this paper is to carry out a measurement of the classic economic cycles in northern border estates of México, through a quarterly measurement that covers 1980-1 to 2020-4. Inspired by the tradition of measuring cycles of Burns and Mitchel (1946), as well a...

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Những tác giả chính: Ramírez Rodríguez, Roberto, Erquizio Espinal, Alfredo
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Được phát hành: Posgrados de la División de Ciencias Económica Administrativas 2023
Truy cập trực tuyến:https://indiciales.unison.mx/index.php/Indicial/article/view/48
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spelling oai:https:--indiciales.unison.mx-:article-482023-04-20T23:57:33Z Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico Ciclos económicos e indicadores del mercado de trabajo en la Frontera Norte de México Ramírez Rodríguez, Roberto Erquizio Espinal, Alfredo ciclos económicos masa salarial desempleo oculto economics cycles wage bill hidden unemployment The objective that we have set ourselves in this paper is to carry out a measurement of the classic economic cycles in northern border estates of México, through a quarterly measurement that covers 1980-1 to 2020-4. Inspired by the tradition of measuring cycles of Burns and Mitchel (1946), as well as in the most recent contributions of Sherman (1991), the different economic phases of the economic cycle of labor market variables are identified, in particular the wage bill of IMSS workers and the inactive population available for work, contrasting it with the GDP of the border states on a quarterly basis. Most notable findings. He realizes the countercyclical behavior of discouraged or disillusioned workers, for some border states and for some contractive events. Of the same firm, a countercyclical behavior of the evolution of the wage bill was recorder in the context of the economic contraction of 2019-2020.  El objetivo que nos hemos trazado en este artículo, es realizar una medición de los ciclos económicos clásicos en los estados de la frontera norte de México, a través de una medición trimestral que cubre  de 1980-1 a 2020-4. Inspirados en la tradición de la medición de los ciclos clásicos de Burns y Mitchel (1946), así como en las aportaciones más recientes  de Sherman (1991), se identifican las distintas fases económicas del ciclo económico de variables del mercado de trabajo, en particular de la masa salarial de los trabajadores del IMSS y de la población inactiva disponible para trabajar, contrastándola con el PIB estatal de los estados fronterizos con frecuencia trimestral. Entre los hallazgos más destacables se da cuenta del comportamiento contracíclico de los trabajadores desalentados o desilusionados, para algunos estados fronterizos y para algunos eventos contractivos. De igual forma, se constata un comportamiento contracíclico de la evolución de la masa salarial en el contexto de la contracción económica de 2019-2020. Posgrados de la División de Ciencias Económica Administrativas 2023-03-13 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Articulo evaluado por pares application/pdf https://indiciales.unison.mx/index.php/Indicial/article/view/48 10.52906/ind.v1i5.48 Indiciales; Vol. 1 Núm. 5 (2023): REVISTA INDICIALES 2954-3649 10.52906/ind.v1i5 spa https://indiciales.unison.mx/index.php/Indicial/article/view/48/53 Derechos de autor 2023 Miguel Ángel Vázquez Ruiz
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author Ramírez Rodríguez, Roberto
Erquizio Espinal, Alfredo
spellingShingle Ramírez Rodríguez, Roberto
Erquizio Espinal, Alfredo
Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico
author_facet Ramírez Rodríguez, Roberto
Erquizio Espinal, Alfredo
author_sort Ramírez Rodríguez, Roberto
title Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico
title_short Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico
title_full Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico
title_fullStr Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico
title_full_unstemmed Economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the Northern Border of Mexico
title_sort economic cycles and indicators of the labor market in the northern border of mexico
description The objective that we have set ourselves in this paper is to carry out a measurement of the classic economic cycles in northern border estates of México, through a quarterly measurement that covers 1980-1 to 2020-4. Inspired by the tradition of measuring cycles of Burns and Mitchel (1946), as well as in the most recent contributions of Sherman (1991), the different economic phases of the economic cycle of labor market variables are identified, in particular the wage bill of IMSS workers and the inactive population available for work, contrasting it with the GDP of the border states on a quarterly basis. Most notable findings. He realizes the countercyclical behavior of discouraged or disillusioned workers, for some border states and for some contractive events. Of the same firm, a countercyclical behavior of the evolution of the wage bill was recorder in the context of the economic contraction of 2019-2020. 
publisher Posgrados de la División de Ciencias Económica Administrativas
publishDate 2023
url https://indiciales.unison.mx/index.php/Indicial/article/view/48
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